West Asia conflict to weigh on India’s macro fundamentals
Escalating tensions in West Asia are pushing up energy costs and widening macro risks for India. From slower growth to higher inflation, the spillover effects could shape FY27 outlook.
Escalating tensions in West Asia are pushing up energy costs and widening macro risks for India. From slower growth to higher inflation, the spillover effects could shape FY27 outlook.
While the credit ratio remains above the 10-year average of 1.55, the moderation suggests early signs of stress amid a more challenging environment.
ICRA expects the operating profitability for construction companies to stay in the range of 10.3-10.8% in 2025-26, and 10.1-10.6% in 2026-27.
The Middle East conflict can trigger a wide spectrum of impact on Indian corporates, ranging from logistics logjams and fuel shortages to inflationary pressures and capital reallocation.
APAC, especially Indian airports, could face near-term traffic volatility if disruption to West Asian airspace persists.
Higher energy prices could put upward pressure on inflation, affecting monetary policy decisions globally.
The EPC sector’s revenue growth is closely linked to movements in nominal gross fixed capital formation, which Ind-Ra expects to grow 13.1% yoy compared to 8.3% yoy in FY26.
Ind-Ra suggests that the effect of the conflict between Iran and US allies on the Indian economy largely depends on its duration.
The executive has quickly invoked Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act to impose new 10% global tariff on all imports to US for 150 days.
The insolvency system will continue to produce low realisation values because its fundamental structural problems remain unaddressed.