Food, global commodity risks push CPI inflation higher in February: SBI Research
While all-India core inflation only increased by 5 bps to 3.40% in Feb’26, the state-wise trend is quite divergent.
While all-India core inflation only increased by 5 bps to 3.40% in Feb’26, the state-wise trend is quite divergent.
For the full year, GDP growth is estimated at 7.6%, supported by robust expansion in the manufacturing sector.
India is updating its GDP base year from 2011-12 to 2022-23, with the new series scheduled for release on February 27, 2026.
The core CPI in the new series is at 3.4% in January 2026, compared to ~4.15% going by the old series in January 2026.
Higher education spending and policy measures in the Union Budget 2026 will support upskilling, employability and academic outcomes.
RBI may not have room to lower rates any further, unless the new series of CPI and GDP springs up any unforeseen surprises.
The union government’s focus on fiscal consolidation has established fiscal credibility among investors and stakeholders over the years.
The Survey strongly emphasises maintaining fiscal credibility and highlights improvements in public expenditure quality by both the union and state governments.
The report pegs credit growth at ~10–12% CAGR over the next five years with the expectation of continued deepening of banking assets as a share of GDP.
Major sectors which registered the highest growth in output in Dec’25 include motor vehicles, other transport equipment, computer, electronic, pharma, amongst others.